Decadal Evolution of the Nansen Ice Shelf, Antarctica, from Historical Aerial Photography and Landsat Imagery

Abstract. Antarctic ice shelves regulate ice sheet mass balance through their "buttressing effect", with major implications for global sea level rise. This study focuses on the Nansen Ice Shelf in Victoria Land, East Antarctica, which exhibits complex topography and sensitivity to environmental changes. Previous research has primarily centered on its significant collapse event in 2016; however, systematic evolutionary patterns over longer timescales remain unclear. This study integrates multi-source remote sensing observations from 1948 to 2025 to systematically reconstruct changes in the Nansen Ice Shelf's geometric characteristics (crevasse width, area) and dynamic parameters (ice flow velocity). Findings reveal distinct activity differences between the northern and southern regions of the ice shelf, closely linked to their respective boundary conditions and structural features.